UC Cartes vs Peña Revilla SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Cartes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 2
CAR
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
AYR
57%
23%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SEL
2 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
TEX
54%
24%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Revilla SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
MFC
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 0
CAY
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ARE
2 - 2
PRE
54%
23%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 2
AYR
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SEL
3 - 0
PRE
67%
20%
13%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |