Ubuntu Cape Town vs Baroka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ubuntu Cape Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
COS
3 - 2
UCT
79%
15%
6%
|
14 | 55 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 0
SAN
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
COS
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
WIT
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 0
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |