UAI Urquiza vs Victoriano Arenas analysis


45	ELO	43
1.5%	Tilt	-1.3%
4111º	General ELO ranking	22721º
112º	Country ELO ranking	242º
ELO win probability

60.7%

UAI Urquiza

21.3%

Draw

18%

Victoriano Arenas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

60.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%

21.3%

Draw

0-0

5.2%

1-1

10.1%

2-2

4.9%

3-3

4-4

0.1%

21.3%

18%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%