UA Zacatecas vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
9º
2º
3
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 2
ZAC
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
LEO
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
3 - 1
ZAC
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 0
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
3 - 0
ZAC
14%
20%
65%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
MIN
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
LCU
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
5 - 0
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
LEO
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
ADG
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |