Oberliga Bremen round 10

TuSpo Surheide vs Brinkumer SV analysis

TuSpo Surheide Brinkumer SV
24 ELO 36
10% Tilt 4%
11983º General ELO ranking 9085º
641º Country ELO ranking 400º
ELO win probability
16.1%
TuSpo Surheide
17%
Draw
66.9%
Brinkumer SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
TuSpo Surheide
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
66.9%
Win probability
Brinkumer SV
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TuSpo Surheide
-5%
+108%
Brinkumer SV

Points and table prediction

TuSpo Surheide
Their league position
Brinkumer SV
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
16º
15º
33
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Oberneuland
69
72
100%
SV Hemelingen
65
68
100%
SG Aumund-Vegesack
62
63
58%
OSC Bremerhaven
60
63
58%
Union Bremen
50
51
100%
Geestemünde
45
45
100%
BTS Neustadt
41
44
82%
Woltmershausen
39
40
67.5%
Vatan Sport
37
38
69.5%
Schwachhausen
10º
36
36
10º
84%
Brinkumer SV
12º
33
34
11º
34.5%
Blumenthaler SV
11º
34
34
12º
34.5%
Leher TS Bremerhaven
13º
28
28
13º
100%
TuS Komet Arsten
14º
24
25
14º
100%
TuSpo Surheide
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Werder Bremen III
16º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
TuSpo Surheide
Brinkumer SV
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

TuSpo Surheide
Brinkumer SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TuSpo Surheide
TuSpo Surheide
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
WOL
Woltmershausen
2 - 1
TuSpo Surheide
TSS
60%
20%
21%
24 27 3 0
09 Oct. 2022
SVH
SV Hemelingen
6 - 0
TuSpo Surheide
TSS
52%
20%
28%
25 23 2 -1
01 Oct. 2022
TSS
TuSpo Surheide
3 - 1
Blumenthaler SV
BLU
68%
17%
15%
25 18 7 0
25 Sep. 2022
SCH
Schwachhausen
2 - 2
TuSpo Surheide
TSS
48%
21%
31%
24 23 1 +1
18 Sep. 2022
TSS
TuSpo Surheide
1 - 2
TuS Komet Arsten
TKA
64%
18%
18%
25 20 5 -1

Matches

Brinkumer SV
Brinkumer SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
BRI
Brinkumer SV
1 - 4
SV Hemelingen
SVH
77%
13%
10%
37 25 12 0
08 Oct. 2022
BLU
Blumenthaler SV
0 - 4
Brinkumer SV
BRI
9%
13%
77%
36 18 18 +1
01 Oct. 2022
BRI
Brinkumer SV
0 - 3
Schwachhausen
SCH
81%
11%
8%
37 23 14 -1
24 Sep. 2022
TKA
TuS Komet Arsten
3 - 4
Brinkumer SV
BRI
11%
15%
74%
36 21 15 +1
17 Sep. 2022
BRI
Brinkumer SV
0 - 1
Vatan Sport
VAT
81%
12%
8%
37 24 13 -1