TuS Holzkirchen vs TSV Kastl analysis


21	ELO	18
-5%	Tilt	-4.7%
13865º	General ELO ranking	13569º
854º	Country ELO ranking	822º
ELO win probability

65.7%

TuS Holzkirchen

18.2%

Draw

16.1%

TSV Kastl

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

65.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%

18.2%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

8%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

18.2%

16.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-3%

-28%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TuS Holzkirchen

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 Jul. 2016	ERL 1 - 2 HOL 35% 23% 42%	22	18	4	0
27 Jul. 2016	HOL 3 - 1 DJK 39% 23% 38%	21	23	2	+1
23 Jul. 2016	HOL 1 - 0 CTR 56% 21% 23%	20	18	2	+1
21 May. 2016	TSV 3 - 1 HOL 12% 17% 71%	21	8	13	-1
14 May. 2016	HOL 1 - 2 SVM 73% 16% 12%	22	15	7	-1