TUS Heiligenkreuz vs SV Union Gnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
10º
18
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
SVW
2 - 1
HGK
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 2
ILZ
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 0
HGK
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 0
FEH
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UGA
4 - 1
HGK
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
SV Union Gnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
GNA
0 - 3
FUR
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GNA
0 - 11
SVW
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ILZ
2 - 0
GNA
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GNA
3 - 4
LAF
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FEH
5 - 0
GNA
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |