Oberliga Westfalen round 21

TuS Bovinghausen vs Westfalia Rhynern analysis

TuS Bovinghausen Westfalia Rhynern
24 ELO 32
3% Tilt 0.7%
11230º General ELO ranking 7919º
558º Country ELO ranking 315º
ELO win probability
36.7%
TuS Bovinghausen
21.7%
Draw
41.5%
Westfalia Rhynern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
TuS Bovinghausen
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.5%
Win probability
Westfalia Rhynern
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TuS Bovinghausen
-27%
+28%
Westfalia Rhynern

Points and table prediction

TuS Bovinghausen
Their league position
Westfalia Rhynern
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
16º
14º
44
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sportfreunde Lotte
76
76
100%
Türkspor Dortmund
74
74
100%
ASC 09 Dortmund
67
70
100%
SpVgg Erkenschwick
64
64
100%
Gievenbeck
61
61
100%
Preußen Münster II
57
57
100%
Siegen Sportfreunde
53
53
79%
Schermbeck
51
51
79%
SpVgg Vreden
50
50
79%
Westfalia Rhynern
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Ennepetal
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Wattenscheid 09
13º
34
34
13º
100%
TuS Bovinghausen
14º
32
32
14º
100%
Victoria Clarholz
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Eintracht Rheine
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Brünninghausen
17º
26
26
17º
100%
Sprockhövel
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TuS Bovinghausen
Westfalia Rhynern
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

TuS Bovinghausen
Westfalia Rhynern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TuS Bovinghausen
TuS Bovinghausen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2024
BGH
Brünninghausen
5 - 0
TuS Bovinghausen
TUS
24%
20%
56%
28 18 10 0
18 Feb. 2024
TUS
TuS Bovinghausen
1 - 2
Ennepetal
ENN
58%
20%
23%
30 27 3 -2
03 Feb. 2024
ASC
ASC 09 Dortmund
2 - 0
TuS Bovinghausen
TUS
62%
19%
20%
30 37 7 0
26 Jan. 2024
TUS
TuS Bovinghausen
3 - 1
SV Sodingen
SVS
28%
21%
52%
28 38 10 +2
08 Dec. 2023
SCH
Schermbeck
3 - 2
TuS Bovinghausen
TUS
58%
20%
23%
30 34 4 -2

Matches

Westfalia Rhynern
Westfalia Rhynern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
1 - 1
Ennepetal
ENN
57%
21%
22%
31 27 4 0
18 Feb. 2024
SCH
Schermbeck
3 - 0
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
52%
22%
26%
34 35 1 -3
09 Feb. 2024
SPR
Sprockhövel
0 - 1
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
37%
22%
41%
32 26 6 +2
13 Jan. 2024
SCH
Schonnebeck
5 - 4
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
60%
20%
20%
32 38 6 0
10 Dec. 2023
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
3 - 1
Preußen Münster II
PRE
28%
23%
49%
30 38 8 +2