AFC Challenge Cup round 3

Turkmenistan vs Philippines analysis

Turkmenistan Philippines
58 ELO 55
3.8% Tilt 4%
3773º General ELO ranking 5359º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60%
Turkmenistan
21.5%
Draw
18.5%
Philippines

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Turkmenistan
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
Philippines
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Turkmenistan
-28%
-37%
Philippines

ELO progression

Turkmenistan
Philippines
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Turkmenistan
Turkmenistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2014
AFG
Afghanistan
3 - 1
Turkmenistan
TKM
17%
20%
63%
60 44 16 0
20 May. 2014
TKM
Turkmenistan
5 - 1
Laos
LAO
77%
15%
8%
60 34 26 0
19 Mar. 2012
TKM
Turkmenistan
1 - 2
Korea DPR
PRK
31%
27%
42%
61 76 15 -1
16 Mar. 2012
TKM
Turkmenistan
2 - 1
Philippines
PHL
64%
20%
16%
61 50 11 0
12 Mar. 2012
NPL
Nepal
0 - 3
Turkmenistan
TKM
21%
23%
56%
60 46 14 +1

Matches

Philippines
Philippines
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2014
LAO
Laos
0 - 2
Philippines
PHL
25%
22%
54%
53 34 19 0
20 May. 2014
PHL
Philippines
0 - 0
Afghanistan
AFG
65%
20%
15%
53 43 10 0
27 Apr. 2014
PHL
Philippines
0 - 0
Malaysia
MAS
41%
25%
34%
53 55 2 0
11 Apr. 2014
PHL
Philippines
3 - 0
Nepal
NPL
65%
20%
15%
53 43 10 0
05 Mar. 2014
AZE
Azerbaijan
1 - 0
Philippines
PHL
60%
23%
17%
53 65 12 0