Türkgücü Friedberg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
10º
3º
8
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 80 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 74 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 68 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 66 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 64 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 59 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 57 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 48 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 46 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 43 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 32 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 25 |
19º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkgücü Friedberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SVP
0 - 2
TUR
11%
14%
75%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GOP
2 - 0
TUR
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
GON
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
6 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
9%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TUR
3 - 1
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HES
2 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAU
3 - 0
HUN
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAU
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
EDD
1 - 2
BAU
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
BAU
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |