Turgutluspor vs Sebat Gençlik SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
16º
15º
25
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 65 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 62 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 59 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 46 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 45 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 36 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 33 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 24 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 27% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
82% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
3 - 1
TUR
71%
17%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ZON
1 - 0
TUR
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 0
KIR
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KAH
4 - 0
TUR
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
ASP
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sebat Gençlik SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 3
SGS
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EDI
2 - 3
SGS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SGS
3 - 1
ZON
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
2 - 0
SGS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 0
KAH
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |