TuRa Bremen vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
15º
13º
17
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BTN
3 - 3
TRB
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TRB
4 - 0
VAB
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
TRB
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 5
BLU
47%
21%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 4
WOL
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAT
3 - 2
BRI
20%
18%
61%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
VAT
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 1
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 2
VAT
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BLU
7 - 1
VAT
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |