TuRa Bremen vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
15º
15º
16
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 72 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 65 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 49 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 46 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 45 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 41 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BTN
3 - 3
TRB
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TRB
4 - 0
VAB
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
TRB
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 5
BLU
47%
21%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 4
WOL
56%
19%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAT
3 - 2
BRI
20%
18%
61%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
VAT
69%
16%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 1
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 2
VAT
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BLU
7 - 1
VAT
74%
14%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |