Tuggen vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 0
TUG
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TUG
4 - 1
FCB
72%
15%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 0
MEN
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
TUG
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
TUG
1 - 1
GCB
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
WIN
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
STG
3 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 4
STG
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
TUG
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 0
STG
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |