Tubize vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
7º
3º
22
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 46 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 41 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 41 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 36 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 31 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 30 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 30 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 27 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 25 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 23 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 13 |
12º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tubize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
TUB
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
TUB
0 - 4
AND
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 1
TUB
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 1
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SGI
0 - 3
TUB
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 3
ROC
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 4
EXC
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 1
RCS
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 3
EXC
29%
24%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
TOU
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |