Meerbusch vs SF Niederwenigern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
17º
9º
15
16º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 62 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 60 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
35% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 2
MEE
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SVB
1 - 2
MEE
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 0
TDV
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
MEE
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MEE
1 - 3
SWE
32%
24%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
SF Niederwenigern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 0
HIL
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 0
SON
20%
23%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 2
SFN
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SFN
3 - 1
NET
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
SFN
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |