Landesliga Holstein round 27

TSV Lägerdorf vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis

TSV Lägerdorf Hagen Ahrensburg
16 ELO 11
-2% Tilt -5.2%
15045º General ELO ranking 16219º
941º Country ELO ranking 1011º
ELO win probability
68.6%
TSV Lägerdorf
16.8%
Draw
14.6%
Hagen Ahrensburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
TSV Lägerdorf
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.6%
Win probability
Hagen Ahrensburg
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Lägerdorf
-36%
-49%
Hagen Ahrensburg

ELO progression

TSV Lägerdorf
Hagen Ahrensburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Lägerdorf
TSV Lägerdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
TSV
TSV Lägerdorf
2 - 0
Pansdorf
PAN
32%
23%
46%
15 18 3 0
06 Apr. 2024
EUT
Eutin 08
1 - 3
TSV Lägerdorf
TSV
82%
12%
6%
13 25 12 +2
01 Apr. 2024
TSV
TSV Lägerdorf
1 - 1
1.FC Phönix Lübeck II
PLA
26%
21%
53%
13 17 4 0
30 Mar. 2024
TSV
TSV Lägerdorf
1 - 1
Heiligenstedten
TSH
77%
14%
10%
13 7 6 0
24 Mar. 2024
TSV
TSV Lägerdorf
3 - 3
SV Eichede II
EIC
38%
23%
40%
13 14 1 0

Matches

Hagen Ahrensburg
Hagen Ahrensburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
EIC
SV Eichede II
4 - 0
Hagen Ahrensburg
HAG
57%
20%
23%
12 14 2 0
07 Apr. 2024
HAG
Hagen Ahrensburg
0 - 2
Henstedt-Ulzburg
HUL
72%
16%
12%
14 9 5 -2
30 Mar. 2024
HAG
Hagen Ahrensburg
2 - 0
Preetzer TSV
PRE
30%
21%
49%
13 16 3 +1
24 Mar. 2024
PLA
1.FC Phönix Lübeck II
1 - 1
Hagen Ahrensburg
HAG
74%
15%
12%
12 18 6 +1
17 Mar. 2024
HAG
Hagen Ahrensburg
2 - 2
Eichholzer SV
ECZ
46%
22%
32%
12 12 0 0