Wörsdorf vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
EWM
2 - 0
WOR
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FSV
2 - 1
WOR
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 0
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
VIK
1 - 2
WOR
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
WOR
2 - 2
BAU
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
SVB
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
FSV
1 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
FVB
0 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESC
23%
26%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |