Trujillo vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
TRU
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
TRU
1 - 3
EMD
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 0
TRU
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CDD
0 - 1
TRU
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TRU
3 - 2
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
CDD
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 0
AMA
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
AZU
26%
25%
50%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
JER
4 - 1
AMA
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 3
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |