Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 2
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 2
ZUL
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
POR
5 - 0
TRU
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 0
TRU
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 4
ZAM
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAM
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
ZUL
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 2
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |