Troyes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 2
TRO
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 1
LMU
38%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SED
1 - 2
TRO
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 1
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 0
STL
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
AMI
60%
22%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
LHA
3 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
USB
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 3
REI
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
IST
2 - 1
GUI
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |