Tropezón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 0
TRO
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TRO
3 - 3
SIE
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 0
TRO
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TRO
3 - 2
ESC
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 3
TRO
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CUL
30%
27%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
TEX
40%
27%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |