Trofense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 1
TRO
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TRO
2 - 2
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TRO
0 - 2
FEI
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AVE
1 - 0
TRO
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
BMA
3 - 1
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
EST
2 - 2
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
32%
29%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |