Tritones Vallarta vs Agricultores Guasave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1238%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
9º
8º
14
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LCU
2 - 1
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TDA
0 - 2
TRI
19%
24%
58%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 3
RAF
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Agricultores Guasave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ADG
4 - 0
LCU
20%
23%
58%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
4 - 1
ADG
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 62 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
0 - 1
TDA
65%
18%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
7 - 5
CIM
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 68 | 50 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
ADG
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |