Treviso vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
TRE
0 - 1
VIC
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
TRE
0 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
REG
0 - 0
TRE
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
TRE
2 - 1
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRE
11%
21%
68%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
COS
1 - 1
CAS
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 1
COS
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
REG
3 - 0
CAS
79%
16%
5%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRE
11%
21%
68%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
UDI
4 - 0
CAS
97%
3%
0%
|
33 | 87 | 54 | 0 |