Treviso vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 0
TRE
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
TRE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 0
PIS
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CES
1 - 1
LEC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
REG
2 - 0
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
CES
1 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |