Treaty United vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
9º
6º
69
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 1
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SLR
2 - 0
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 1
TRE
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 1
WAT
9%
19%
72%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CAO
3 - 0
WAT
20%
21%
59%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 2
GAL
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
WEX
0 - 1
WAT
14%
22%
65%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | +1 |