Tre Penne vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 3
TPE
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
TPE
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
0 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
FAE
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 4
COS
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 3
FOL
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |