Tre Fiori vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
TFI
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
FOL
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
COS
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
TFI
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 2
COS
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 1
DOM
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
TPE
21%
24%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 3
DOM
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |