Trastevere vs Real Monterotondo Scalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
12º
12º
26
8º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 63 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 32 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PUT
1 - 0
TRA
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 1
GMF
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SSC
3 - 0
TRA
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ASI
2 - 1
TRA
29%
22%
48%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
ANZ
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monterotondo Scalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RMS
2 - 1
PAG
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RMS
0 - 0
SSC
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PUT
2 - 0
RMS
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ANZ
2 - 1
RMS
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RMS
1 - 2
ACD
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |