Narva Trans vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
8º
53
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
TRA
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
KUR
31%
28%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAI
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
TRA
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 2
TAL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
TAL
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 2
LEV
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAL
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 2
FLO
10%
18%
72%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |