Narva Trans vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
10º
6º
87
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
KUR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
TRA
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 1
KAL
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 2
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 3
TRA
68%
18%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 6
LEV
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
TAM
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
KUR
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
LEV
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 2
PAI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |