Trairiense vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trairiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 1
TRA
86%
11%
3%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
DTA
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
TRA
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
TRA
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BOV
1 - 1
TRA
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRA
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 0
GUA
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
POR
65%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |