Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
13º
7º
20
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 72 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 65 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 62 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 58 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 54 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 53 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 52 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 49 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 49 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 48 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 47 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 46 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 45 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 44 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 39 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 37 |
18º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
1% | 27% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 32% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
8% | 11.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 1
TRA
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
IST
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
TRA
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 2
KON
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GFK
0 - 0
TRA
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 0
BOD
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 1
MUD
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
FEN
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEN
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 2
FEN
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |