Tours vs Montargis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
18
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AVO
2 - 1
TOU
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
CHA
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
ORL
88%
10%
3%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
TOU
7%
17%
76%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
4 - 1
DRO
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Montargis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CSL
2 - 2
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
MON
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
SAR
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |