Tours vs Chartres II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
20
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
ORL
88%
10%
3%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
TOU
7%
17%
76%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
4 - 1
DRO
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 2
TOU
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
4 - 0
MON
88%
10%
3%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Chartres II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
MON
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 1
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAR
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 1
CHA
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
66%
18%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |