Tours vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2010 |
IST
2 - 1
TOU
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 0
TOU
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
TOU
1 - 1
VAN
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 1
TOU
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAE
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
VAN
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
CLE
0 - 0
BAS
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 0
BAS
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |