Tours vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
REI
2 - 1
TOU
53%
26%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
TOU
1 - 2
FCL
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
TOU
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
TOU
2 - 0
IST
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
FCG
2 - 1
TOU
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
AMI
1 - 0
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
MPL
4 - 0
BAS
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
DIJ
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |