Tours vs Montlouis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+89%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
41
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CSL
1 - 2
TOU
7%
18%
75%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOU
28%
24%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TOU
3 - 2
ORL
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOU
1 - 2
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
TOU
0 - 0
TOU
8%
17%
76%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ORL
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
AVO
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
MON
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
CSL
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
BOU
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |