Toulouse U19 vs Saint-Etienne U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
2º
26
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 50 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 49 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 46 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 44 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 43 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 34 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 33 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 3
TOU
55%
20%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOU
7 - 0
COL
73%
16%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 1
TOU
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 2
TOU
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
ABE
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Saint-Etienne U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETI
0 - 1
AJA
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ETI
1 - 3
ROD
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 2
ETI
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ETI
2 - 2
NIC
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ETI
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |