Toulouse II vs Olympique Alès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BEA
2 - 1
TOU
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FAB
0 - 2
TOU
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 4
MON
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CRF
1 - 0
TOU
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TOU
1 - 1
ROD
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 5
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 0
OLY
17%
22%
60%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 0
CRF
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 2
OLY
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
AGD
62%
21%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |