Europa League Grupo E Jor. 5

Toulouse vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis

Toulouse Union Saint-Gilloise
79 ELO 87
8.9% Tilt 7.5%
259º General ELO ranking 96º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.1%
Toulouse
22.2%
Draw
54.7%
Union Saint-Gilloise

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
Toulouse
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.7%
Win probability
Union Saint-Gilloise
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Toulouse
Union Saint-Gilloise
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
NIC
Nice
1 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
48%
25%
27%
79 84 5 0
12 Nov. 2023
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
57%
23%
20%
79 86 7 0
09 Nov. 2023
TFC
Toulouse
3 - 2
Liverpool
LIV
2%
9%
89%
78 99 21 +1
05 Nov. 2023
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 2
Le Havre
LHA
63%
22%
16%
79 71 8 -1
29 Oct. 2023
MPL
Montpellier
3 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
44%
24%
32%
79 77 2 0

Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
GEN
KAA Gent
1 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
42%
24%
33%
87 87 0 0
12 Nov. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
3 - 0
Kortrijk
KVK
73%
17%
10%
87 68 19 0
09 Nov. 2023
LAS
LASK
3 - 0
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
22%
22%
55%
88 81 7 -1
05 Nov. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 1
Club Brugge
BRU
45%
24%
31%
88 88 0 0
01 Nov. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 1
Meux
MEU
85%
11%
4%
88 49 39 0
X