Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 2
TFC
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
TFC
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 1
TFC
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
TFC
0 - 2
REN
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MET
0 - 1
TFC
48%
28%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
MET
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
REN
2 - 2
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIL
39%
29%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |