Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 0
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TFC
2 - 0
CAE
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
LMU
2 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TFC
3 - 0
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
LOR
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FCG
0 - 2
ASS
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 0
REI
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
AMI
1 - 0
ASS
35%
27%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ASS
3 - 0
IST
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |