Toulouse vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
TOU
2 - 2
TFC
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
TFC
3 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 1
TFC
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 0
TFC
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
AUX
2 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
STL
2 - 1
AUX
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
AUX
2 - 0
STR
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
AUX
1 - 0
FCR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
STR
2 - 1
AUX
39%
30%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |