Premier League round 5

Tottenham Hotspur vs Middlesbrough analysis

Tottenham Hotspur Middlesbrough
83 ELO 70
4.5% Tilt -9%
33º General ELO ranking 483º
Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
77%
Tottenham Hotspur
15.7%
Draw
7.2%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
Tottenham Hotspur
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.2%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tottenham Hotspur
-2%
-3%
Middlesbrough

ELO progression

Tottenham Hotspur
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 1988
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
76%
17%
8%
83 91 8 0
10 Sep. 1988
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
43%
27%
30%
83 87 4 0
03 Sep. 1988
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
55%
24%
22%
83 81 2 0
04 May. 1988
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
50%
26%
25%
83 85 2 0
02 May. 1988
CHA
Charlton Athletic
1 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
41%
28%
32%
83 75 8 0

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 1988
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Wimbledon FC
WIM
31%
28%
42%
69 83 14 0
10 Sep. 1988
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
80%
15%
5%
69 88 19 0
03 Sep. 1988
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 3
Norwich City
NOR
35%
29%
37%
70 81 11 -1
27 Aug. 1988
DER
Derby County
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
63%
23%
14%
70 75 5 0
07 May. 1988
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Leicester
LEI
54%
24%
22%
71 69 2 -1