Tottenham Hotspur vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
TRA
0 - 4
TOT
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
TOT
3 - 5
MUD
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 0
TOT
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SUN
1 - 2
TOT
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
TOT
2 - 3
CHL
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FUL
5 - 2
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
DER
0 - 2
ARS
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEE
3 - 0
DER
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
DER
2 - 3
LEI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
DER
3 - 0
HUL
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |