TOT vs Police United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
TOT
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 3
OSO
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 1
TOT
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 0
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 1
MUA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Police United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
POL
1 - 0
BAN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TTM
0 - 2
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
SIN
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
POL
3 - 1
BAN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |