Torquay United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Jan. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 0
DAG
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
21 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
GUL
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
14 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
GUL
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
02 Jan. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
GUL
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
31 Dec. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 0
OXF
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Jan. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
14 Jan. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 5
SOU
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
07 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
02 Jan. 2012 |
STF
1 - 1
NOR
63%
23%
15%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
31 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWI
19%
26%
56%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |