Torpedo Rubtsovsk vs Novosibirsk-M analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
12º
12º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Rubtsovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
MET
8%
17%
76%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 2
FRM
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 3
FPB
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SDB
1 - 2
TOR
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FTB
5 - 1
TOR
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Novosibirsk-M
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 2
FRM
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 2
MET
10%
19%
71%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 1
FKN
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
FKI
3 - 0
FKN
9%
14%
77%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
3 - 1
BUU
61%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |