MLS round 32

Toronto FC vs New York RB analysis

Toronto FC New York RB
72 ELO 80
8.8% Tilt 15.2%
741º General ELO ranking 193º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.7%
Toronto FC
25%
Draw
44.3%
New York RB

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
Toronto FC
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.3%
Win probability
New York RB
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toronto FC
-13%
-3%
New York RB

ELO progression

Toronto FC
New York RB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2015
TOR
Toronto FC
3 - 1
Philadelphia Union
PHU
42%
26%
32%
70 74 4 0
26 Sep. 2015
TOR
Toronto FC
3 - 2
Chicago Fire
CFS
42%
25%
33%
71 73 2 -1
19 Sep. 2015
TOR
Toronto FC
3 - 1
Colorado Rapids
COR
45%
26%
29%
70 72 2 +1
17 Sep. 2015
NYC
New York City
2 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
53%
24%
22%
71 72 1 -1
13 Sep. 2015
TOR
Toronto FC
1 - 3
New England Revolution
NER
35%
25%
40%
71 75 4 0

Matches

New York RB
New York RB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2015
RBN
New York RB
2 - 1
CF Montréal
MON
61%
21%
17%
80 73 7 0
04 Oct. 2015
RBN
New York RB
2 - 1
Columbus Crew
COC
59%
22%
19%
79 73 6 +1
26 Sep. 2015
RBN
New York RB
2 - 5
Orlando City
ORL
67%
19%
14%
80 66 14 -1
20 Sep. 2015
POR
Portland Timbers
0 - 2
New York RB
RBN
42%
25%
33%
80 78 2 0
17 Sep. 2015
NER
New England Revolution
2 - 1
New York RB
RBN
35%
26%
40%
80 76 4 0